You may find this blog a little provocative.
My experience
tells me that you will either be someone who is genuinely interested in
why I might think UK property is a bad investment or someone who
believes that property is a great investment and you want to see why I
have lost my senses.
Let
me start by telling you that I think property is actually a good
investment but only at the right price and with the right factors to
stimulate its growth.
I don't believe that
UK property is at the right price and it has a number of very
undesirable factors which make it bad from an investment point of view.
Read on if you would like to know more.
But
before we look at some of the factors that may affect the UK property
market in the near future, and specifically buy to let, let's look at
the figures:
* There are 4.9 million Buy to Let properties in the UK.
* The total value of those properties is £989 billion
* There are 2 million Buy to Let landlords in the UK
* The average age of those landlords is 56 years old
* The average % return from rent is 2-3%
* 18% of UK homes are owned by private landlords.
The figures above tell us that the market is thriving, then why be concerned?
It
is well documented that the UK government has now started to put the
brakes on incentivizing investment in UK buy to let for a few reasons
1. Inflated house prices are preventing first time buyers getting a foot on the housing ladder:
2.
The British people have seen property values grow in value
consistently over the last 20 years and are more frequently gambling
their long term future (retirement) on the potential growth in property
prices (a very dangerous and worrying trend!).
3.
Foreign buyers have entered the UK property market as a way to buy an
asset in what could be considered a safe and secure country.
So
what has the UK government done to try to make buy to let property look
less appealing as an investable asset and to help cool this area of the
market?
Well, as usual it all comes down to
taxes. The main tool of any government in restricting/incentivizing
investment. And, if by this point you are wondering why it should matter
to you, as a resident in Italy, then read on as the most important part
is coming.
Firstly we have:
Capital Gains Tax.
Following
a consultation in 2014 on Capital Gains tax for NON UK residents, the
law changed from 6th April 2015 to charge Capital Gains tax on UK
residential properties owned by non-residents.
Although, only the proportion of the gain that relates to the period after 5th April 2015 is chargeable.
Still,
if UK house prices continue to rise then UK NON residents could be in
for some nasty tax bills on the sale of UK properties.
Wear and Tear Allowance
At
the end of the tax year 2015/2016 the wear and tear allowance, which
allowed anyone letting out furnished property to claim 10% of the rent
as an allowance regardless of any actual expenditure, will be removed.
It will be replaced with with a new relief, based on the actual costs incurred in the replacement of furniture and fittings.
Mortgage Interest Relief
This
tax was withdrawn from homeowners 15 years ago but landlords can still
claim it. The relief means that the landlord can claim tax relief on
mortgage interest payments at their highest level of income tax. From
2017 this will be limited to basic rate tax only.
UK property in offshore companies
This
only applies to non domiciles, but where they have numerous properties
housed in an offshore company to avoid IHT, this will no longer be an
option.
Personal Allowance
You
may remember in 2014 that the UK Government proposed removing the UK
personal allowance for non resident home owners. In reality this would
not make any difference to an Italian resident as we are not eligible
for the UK personal allowance anyway. However the consultation is
ongoing and any new proposals will be introduced from 5 April 2017.
Council Tax. (I like to leave the best till last).
This
is probably the biggest area which could affect UK rental property and
non rental property owners living in Italy, should any proposals take
effect.
Council tax was introduced in 1993 as
the primary source of collecting income from residents by local
authorities. The levy was calculated by allocating every house to one of
eight tax bands. This was calculated based on a property's fair value
as of April 1991.
Given the disproportionate
growth in the price of UK properties, especially in London and the South
east, it is interesting to consider how long this inequality will
continue.
Whilst there are no current
proposals this cannot be dismissed and it would affect Italian residents
who own UK property in 2 ways.
1. Their council tax rates in the UK would increase
2.
The calculation of IVIE, the tax in Italy for ownership of overseas
property (0.76% p.a. of the council tax value) would also increase.
Investing
in property might feel like a low risk investment because you attain a
physical asset for your money, but if property prices decline then the
UK property market could quickly become stressed. Let's not forget that
the average house price dropped close to 25% in value between 2008 and
2009.
The message is diversify and invest wisely
My intention with all these blogs is to provoke some thought about
things which could affect you and I, but also to promote the message of
sensible financial planning for people living in or thinking of moving
to Italy.
I can help to cut through the
noise and focus on what is relevant to you. (And in a bold admission, I
actually like doing it).
If you would
like to discuss ways which you may manage your finances better or even
if you would just like confirmation that what you are doing is the best
for you, then you can contact me on gareth.horsfall@spectrum-ifa.com or
on cell: +39 3336492356
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